Opinion Column

Trudeau win would pave way for Conservative re-election

By Bill Tieleman, News, Views, and Attitude – 24 hours

Justin Trudeau speaks to supporters. (John Lappa, The Sudbury Star)

Justin Trudeau speaks to supporters. (John Lappa, The Sudbury Star)

Twitter is a great place to tell the world what you’re thinking before you’ve had a chance to think about it. — Chris Pirillo, blogger


Canada is apparently doomed — unless one of two things happen, depending on which Twitter feed you follow:

Either Justin Trudeau — Parliament’s Member for Twitter-East — becomes Liberal leader, is elected prime minister in 2015, and vanquishes both Conservative Prime Minister Stephen Harper and New Democrat Leader Tom Mulcair, or;

Vancouver Quadra MP Joyce Murray becomes Liberal leader and drags into a one-time-only 2015 electoral cooperation deal her own reluctant party, the uninterested NDP and the keen Greens, who all then implement proportional representation and allegedly ensure Conservatives never rule Canada again.

While the first option is extremely unlikely, it at least has a mathematical possibility of coming true.

The second option, however, would require more things to happen in precisely the right order with exactly perfect timing than the Big Bang theory that created our universe.

But two of Canada’s biggest social media groups, LeadNow.ca and Avaaz.org, are betting everything on the cosmology caper coming true.

For others, either one of those events happening in Canada in two year’s time would be a sign of political apocalypse akin to the Mayan calendar’s 2012 end of the world prediction, and equally unlikely.

Nonetheless, when the Twitterati become restless thinking Harper will extend his Darth Vader rule by winning another election — they do what they do best: Tweet.

Avaaz.org and LeadNow.ca both have some admirable campaigns I endorse, but they strained their credibility beyond the breaking point when they asked Canadians to join the Liberal Party of Canada to support Murray’s windmill-tilting campaign for the leadership.

The reality is that those who want to depose Harper have a simple choice — Mulcair or Trudeau, but not both.

Trudeau’s celebrity leader status may eliminate any chance of the NDP seriously challenging Harper’s rule in 2015, but there’s almost no chance of a third to first miracle comeback win by the Liberals.

So while the NDP may be nervous about Trudeau as Liberal leader for that reason, the Conservatives aren’t — they’re elated.

Read more Tieleman at billtieleman.blogspot.ca Twitter: @BillTieleman






What’s your opinion about the Liberals, NDP and Greens joining in an one-time electoral cooperation deal?

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